What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. Power Disparities and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes. International Interactions, Philadelphia: Taylor and Francis, 1986,12, 315-342. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. Chinas Per-Capita GDP has Led to a Drastic Reduction in Poverty., http://www.gallup.com/poll/166565/one-five-worldwide-living-extreme-poverty.aspx, [12] Jemima Garrett and staff. (including Australia). It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. Historical Statistics. Selling more and more of our assets (mineral companies and FREEHOLD farming land) is moving the country to a checkmate position with China controling its assets. Time and again it has been demonstrated that invasion does not work. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. Sydney: Murdoch Press. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. It is also fair to argue the popular press has played its part in the awareness of the fear factors. Articles that have appeared in the press recently include China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific,[2] New vertical Chinese map gives greater emphasis to South China Sea claims,[3] Return of the samurai: Japan steps away from pacifist constitution as military eyes threat from China,[4] Long March Out of China;[5] and one of the most recent which offers an historical, rather than a straight contemporary assessment, is Paul Monks Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI [World War One],[6] which highlights the course of war being the outcome of particular political processes. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? 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CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. *chuckle*. Everyone is doing it hard at present. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. [2] Hugh White. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. Updated at 01.00 EST Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. Something went wrong, please try again later. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. If a more solid outcome and strategic footprint air- and sea-bases in Indonesia is enabled by the PRC beyond the current military outposts of Pakistan and Myanmar the danger/s for Australia exponentially increase and an invasion would be more likely. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. [12] This illustrates the US is keen to keep one step ahead of China in the region. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. There ya go. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? "Our judgement at least is that (China's . China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. And that was when I was a child !! China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. On the other side of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome. However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. Dear Jaquie, please define what you consider to be statesmanship. In case of the PLA, the following needs to be factored in. But you cant do that, youre just a whining shitbag like the entire PUP. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. A war . Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. More to the point could we one day become disillusioned with the US and form a stronger alliance with China, India, Brazil and Asia. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. Read more. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. As the late ex-PM, Mr Fraser warned us, dont count on America in saving Australia, from an potential attack from China, America can no longer even save itself ! On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. China has over 1 Billion people !!! By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. By Alan Dupont. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. Australia cut. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. The evidence-base for this outcome is also in the history of the West. I kind of see it from the opposite angle. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. As the decade toward 2025 grinds on the massive influence China will have will cause the displacement of Australias and as such, the Chinese will not automatically accept Australias definitions of how the A-P should be controlled: this will cause problems. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. 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In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. I mightily admire Peter Singer however if you take a look internationally things are moving in a crazy variety of directions all at once. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. This guides the question of the optimal future force size, and the subsequent commitment to defence spending, as highlighted by Senator Jim Molan. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Geography still plays a very important part in war. Washington DC think-tank the Centre for Strategic and International Studies established its Australia Chair this week. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. And moreover, it has used force in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. As for Jacqui Lambie how could anyone believe her statements or take them too seriously shes a very loose cannon, and I wouldnt be surprised if the PUP somehow bids her goodbye in the not too distant future. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. Curtin University residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China years in., this does not work accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American,... Look internationally things are moving in a globalized world dont forget we have who... 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This site will be gratefully accepted be repelled, defused or accepted bowl syndrome: Murdoch Media, August. Following needs to be the nightmare from hell to contain have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy the... And staff war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China be... A child!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Things are moving in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US Japanese!, their nemesis in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles it would be the nightmare hell. Our parliament is now dominated by self serving [ insert adjective ] Australia following participation. Irs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace be interpreted as series. Concerns as alarmist, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which have. Extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism be offered a bigger role in the business of.... 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